Segunda · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Eldense vs Granada CF (Segunda, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Eldense 40%, the draw 26% and Granada CF 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| Eldense win | 40% | Pick |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Granada CF win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 48% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 10 | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| Granada CF | 11 | 55% | 36% | 55% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 33% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 48% | 52% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 56% | 76% | 50 |
| Granada CF | 68% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Eldense season stats · Granada CF season stats · Segunda table and form
League. Segunda has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Eldense 6 of 10 (4 of 5 at home), Granada CF 6 of 11 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 53% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 48%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.47 (Eldense) v 1.36 (Granada CF) give 54%; 30% weight: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.