Bundesliga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with Eintracht Frankfurt 55%, the draw 23% and Hamburger SV 22%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | Yes |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Hamburger SV win | 22% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 83% | 83% | 67% |
| Hamburger SV | 7 | 57% | 43% | 29% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 47% | 43% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | 86% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 58% | 58% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 67% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 74% | 94% | 50 |
| Hamburger SV | 70% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Eintracht Frankfurt season stats · Hamburger SV season stats · Bundesliga table and form
League. Bundesliga has had over 2.5 goals in 65% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Eintracht Frankfurt 5 of 6 (2 of 3 at home), Hamburger SV 4 of 7 (2 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 68% and 63%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 67% and 61%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 64%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 63%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.88 (Eintracht Frankfurt) v 1.1 (Hamburger SV) give 57%; 30% weight: 61%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.