Allsvenskan · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Djurgardens IF 71%, the draw 17% and Degerfors IF 12%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Djurgardens IF win | 71% | Pick |
| Draw | 17% | |
| Degerfors IF win | 12% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 24 | 54% | 33% | 38% |
| Degerfors IF | 24 | 42% | 13% | 42% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 74% | 78% | 50 |
| Degerfors IF | 70% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Djurgardens IF season stats · Degerfors IF season stats · Allsvenskan table and form
League. Allsvenskan has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Djurgardens IF 13 of 24 (9 of 12 at home), Degerfors IF 10 of 24 (4 of 12 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 53% and 47%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 50% and 50%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 33% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.55 (Djurgardens IF) v 0.99 (Degerfors IF) give 69%; 30% weight: 55%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.