Liga I · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 18:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad (Liga I, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with Dinamo Bucuresti 70%, the draw 19% and Uta Arad 11%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | No |
| Dinamo Bucuresti win | 70% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Uta Arad win | 11% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 50% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 13 | 54% | 38% | 54% |
| Uta Arad | 13 | 46% | 38% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | 67% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 50% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 68% | 76% | 50 |
| Uta Arad | 64% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Dinamo Bucuresti season stats · Uta Arad season stats · Liga I table and form
League. Liga I has had over 2.5 goals in 47% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Dinamo Bucuresti 7 of 13 (5 of 6 at home), Uta Arad 6 of 13 (4 of 7 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 47%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 45% and 46%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 46%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 14% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 44%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.16 (Dinamo Bucuresti) v 0.71 (Uta Arad) give 55%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.