Erovnuli Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Dinamo Batumi 55%, the draw 24% and Meshakhte 22%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Dinamo Batumi win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Meshakhte win | 22% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 29 | 66% | 41% | 55% |
| Meshakhte | 30 | 47% | 23% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 35% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 76% | 86% | 50 |
| Meshakhte | 63% | 66% | 32 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Dinamo Batumi season stats · Meshakhte season stats · Erovnuli Liga table and form
League. Erovnuli Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Dinamo Batumi 19 of 29 (10 of 14 at home), Meshakhte 14 of 30 (7 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 59% and 49%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 57% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 52%.
Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 33% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.82 (Dinamo Batumi) v 1.06 (Meshakhte) give 55%; 30% weight: 52%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.