Liga F (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 11:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Deportivo Alavés W vs Real Sociedad W (Liga F (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with Deportivo Alavés W 17%, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad W 61%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | No |
| Deportivo Alavés W win | 17% | |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Real Sociedad W win | 61% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés W | 7 | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Real Sociedad W | 7 | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés W | 57% | 86% | 7 |
| Real Sociedad W | 68% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Deportivo Alavés W season stats · Real Sociedad W season stats · Liga F (W) table and form
League. Liga F (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Deportivo Alavés W 1 of 7 (1 of 4 at home), Real Sociedad W 3 of 7 (1 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 43% and 49%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 43% and 53%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.96 (Deportivo Alavés W) v 2 (Real Sociedad W) give 57%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.