FA WSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Charlton Athletic W vs Chelsea W (FA WSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Charlton Athletic W 6%, the draw 12% and Chelsea W 82%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Charlton Athletic W win | 6% | |
| Draw | 12% | |
| Chelsea W win | 82% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic W | 6 | 67% | 67% | 50% |
| Chelsea W | 6 | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 42% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic W | 74% | 72% | 50 |
| Chelsea W | 82% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Charlton Athletic W season stats · Chelsea W season stats · FA WSL (W) table and form
League. FA WSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Charlton Athletic W 4 of 6 (3 of 4 at home), Chelsea W 3 of 6 (2 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 49% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.78 (Charlton Athletic W) v 3.04 (Chelsea W) give 73%; 30% weight: 58%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.