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BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich: prediction and stats

Super League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time

74%Over 2.5 goals · our callSuper League average 68% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich (Super League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 74% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with BSC Young Boys 66%, the draw 17% and FC Zurich 17%.

Our numbers

MarketOur chanceCall
Over 2.5 goals74%Over
Over 3.5 goals48%Over
Both teams to score69%Yes
BSC Young Boys win66%Pick
Draw17%
FC Zurich win17%
Goal in the 1st half77%
Goal in the 2nd half87%
Goal in both halves67%
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Season form

TeamGamesO2.5O3.5BTTS
BSC Young Boys1090%90%80%
FC Zurich1090%50%90%

First and second half

This matchLeague
Goal in the 1st half77%76%
2+ goals in the 1st half46%43%
Goal in the 2nd half87%85%
2+ goals in the 2nd half62%57%
Goal in both halves67%66%
Half with most goals2nd 46%2nd 47%
Team (own games)1st half goal2nd half goalGames
BSC Young Boys72%92%50
FC Zurich82%88%50

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 82% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

1 Sept 26FC Zurich 2–4 BSC Young BoysO2.5
1 Mar 26BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichO2.5
1 Feb 26BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichO2.5
26 Oct 25FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysO2.5
21 Apr 25BSC Young Boys 2–1 FC ZurichO2.5
2 Nov 24FC Zurich 0–0 BSC Young BoysU2.5

More: BSC Young Boys season stats · FC Zurich season stats · Super League table and form

How we got 74% for over 2.5 goalsleague 68% → sides 75% / 75% → with last season 72% / 73% → mix 72% → head to head 72% → goal model 74% → 74%

League. Super League has had over 2.5 goals in 68% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. BSC Young Boys 9 of 10 (5 of 5 at home), FC Zurich 9 of 10 (4 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 75% and 75%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 72% and 73%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 72%.

Head to head. 10 meetings in 3 years, 70% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 72%.

Goal model. Expected goals 2.82 (BSC Young Boys) v 1.41 (FC Zurich) give 79%; 30% weight: 74%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.