FA WSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Brighton W vs Crystal Palace W (FA WSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Brighton W 52%, the draw 24% and Crystal Palace W 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Brighton W win | 52% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Crystal Palace W win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 61% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton W | 6 | 50% | 50% | 67% |
| Crystal Palace W | 6 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 38% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 50% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 61% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton W | 90% | 70% | 50 |
| Crystal Palace W | 80% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Brighton W season stats · Crystal Palace W season stats · FA WSL (W) table and form
League. FA WSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Brighton W 3 of 6 (1 of 3 at home), Crystal Palace W 2 of 6 (1 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 54% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 59%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 56%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.79 (Brighton W) v 1.15 (Crystal Palace W) give 56%; 30% weight: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.