Primera Division · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Boston River vs Atletico Torque (Primera Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 46% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Boston River 34%, the draw 30% and Atletico Torque 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Boston River win | 34% | |
| Draw | 30% | |
| Atletico Torque win | 37% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 65% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | |
| Goal in both halves | 48% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 33 | 45% | 18% | 48% |
| Atletico Torque | 33 | 55% | 33% | 64% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 65% | 63% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 30% | 26% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 41% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 48% | 47% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 64% | 72% | 50 |
| Atletico Torque | 72% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Boston River season stats · Atletico Torque season stats · Primera Division table and form
League. Primera Division has had over 2.5 goals in 43% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Boston River 15 of 33 (5 of 16 at home), Atletico Torque 18 of 33 (8 of 16 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 45% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 44% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 46%.
Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 67% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 47%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.08 (Boston River) v 1.14 (Atletico Torque) give 38%; 30% weight: 44%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 46%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.