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Birmingham City W vs Tottenham Hotspur W: prediction and stats

FA WSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time

66%Over 2.5 goals · our callFA WSL (W) average 55% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates Birmingham City W vs Tottenham Hotspur W (FA WSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with Birmingham City W 30%, the draw 19% and Tottenham Hotspur W 51%.

Our numbers

MarketOur chanceCall
Over 2.5 goals66%Over
Over 3.5 goals44%–
Both teams to score63%Yes
Birmingham City W win30%
Draw19%
Tottenham Hotspur W win51%Pick
Goal in the 1st half75%
Goal in the 2nd half77%
Goal in both halves60%
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Season form

TeamGamesO2.5O3.5BTTS
Birmingham City W667%50%83%
Tottenham Hotspur W786%71%71%

First and second half

This matchLeague
Goal in the 1st half75%75%
2+ goals in the 1st half39%37%
Goal in the 2nd half77%76%
2+ goals in the 2nd half48%45%
Goal in both halves60%58%
Half with most goals2nd 43%2nd 42%
Team (own games)1st half goal2nd half goalGames
Birmingham City W74%82%50
Tottenham Hotspur W78%80%50

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

13 Feb 22Birmingham City W 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur WU2.5
4 Sept 21Tottenham Hotspur W 1–0 Birmingham City WU2.5

More: Birmingham City W season stats · Tottenham Hotspur W season stats · FA WSL (W) table and form

How we got 66% for over 2.5 goalsleague 55% → sides 57% / 62% → with last season 58% / 58% → mix 57% → goal model 66% → 66%

League. FA WSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. Birmingham City W 4 of 6 (2 of 2 at home), Tottenham Hotspur W 6 of 7 (2 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 62%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 58% and 58%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 57%.

Goal model. Expected goals 2.05 (Birmingham City W) v 2.66 (Tottenham Hotspur W) give 85%; 30% weight: 66%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.