Liga Profesional · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 21:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central (Liga Profesional, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 36% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with Belgrano Cordoba 29%, the draw 31% and Barracas Central 40%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | No |
| Belgrano Cordoba win | 29% | |
| Draw | 31% | |
| Barracas Central win | 40% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | |
| Goal in both halves | 48% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Cordoba | 33 | 33% | 12% | 39% |
| Barracas Central | 29 | 28% | 3% | 45% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | 60% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 18% | 21% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 34% | 34% |
| Goal in both halves | 48% | 44% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Cordoba | 56% | 68% | 50 |
| Barracas Central | 68% | 68% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 61% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Belgrano Cordoba season stats · Barracas Central season stats · Liga Profesional table and form
League. Liga Profesional has had over 2.5 goals in 35% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Belgrano Cordoba 11 of 33 (7 of 16 at home), Barracas Central 8 of 29 (3 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 34% and 31%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 34% and 33%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 34%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 32%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.91 (Belgrano Cordoba) v 1.12 (Barracas Central) give 33%; 30% weight: 32%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 36%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.