Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:45 UK time
CompactStats rates AZ W vs PEC Zwolle W (Vrouwen Eredivisie (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 63% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with AZ W 34%, the draw 24% and PEC Zwolle W 42%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | Yes |
| AZ W win | 34% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| PEC Zwolle W win | 42% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 63% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ W | 7 | 86% | 43% | 57% |
| PEC Zwolle W | 7 | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 44% | 46% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 53% | 56% |
| Goal in both halves | 63% | 67% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ W | 82% | 88% | 50 |
| PEC Zwolle W | 76% | 68% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 89% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: AZ W season stats · PEC Zwolle W season stats · Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) table and form
League. Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 66% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. AZ W 6 of 7 (3 of 4 at home), PEC Zwolle W 5 of 7 (2 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 70% and 67%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 66% and 64%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 65%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 20% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 63%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.53 (AZ W) v 1.71 (PEC Zwolle W) give 63%; 30% weight: 63%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.