Bundesliga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna (Bundesliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Austria Vienna 25%, the draw 25% and Rapid Vienna 50%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Austria Vienna win | 25% | |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Rapid Vienna win | 50% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 64% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 10 | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| Rapid Vienna | 9 | 78% | 44% | 44% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 39% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 48% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 64% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 80% | 82% | 50 |
| Rapid Vienna | 84% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 76% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Austria Vienna season stats · Rapid Vienna season stats · Bundesliga table and form
League. Bundesliga has had over 2.5 goals in 53% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Austria Vienna 6 of 10 (1 of 4 at home), Rapid Vienna 7 of 9 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 55% and 60%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 50%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 56% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.07 (Austria Vienna) v 1.64 (Rapid Vienna) give 51%; 30% weight: 52%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.