Canadian Premier League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 19:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Atlético Ottawa vs Forge (Canadian Premier League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Atlético Ottawa 33%, the draw 27% and Forge 40%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Atlético Ottawa win | 33% | |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Forge win | 40% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | |
| Goal in both halves | 63% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Ottawa | 28 | 68% | 36% | 64% |
| Forge | 28 | 46% | 25% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 51% | 54% |
| Goal in both halves | 63% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Ottawa | 68% | 86% | 50 |
| Forge | 70% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Atlético Ottawa season stats · Forge season stats · Canadian Premier League table and form
League. Canadian Premier League has had over 2.5 goals in 59% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Atlético Ottawa 19 of 28 (9 of 14 at home), Forge 13 of 28 (7 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 64% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 62% and 53%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 58%.
Head to head. 14 meetings in 3 years, 57% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 58%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.2 (Atlético Ottawa) v 1.34 (Forge) give 47%; 30% weight: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.