First Division · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Aris vs Anorthosis (First Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Aris 64%, the draw 22% and Anorthosis 14%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Aris win | 64% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Anorthosis win | 14% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 60% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 6 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Anorthosis | 6 | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | 73% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 30% | 29% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 47% |
| Goal in both halves | 60% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 74% | 84% | 50 |
| Anorthosis | 76% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 71% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Aris season stats · Anorthosis season stats · First Division table and form
League. First Division has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Aris 3 of 6 (2 of 4 at home), Anorthosis 4 of 6 (2 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 53%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 54% and 42%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 57% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.9 (Aris) v 0.74 (Anorthosis) give 49%; 30% weight: 49%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 50%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.