NWSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 22:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Angel City W vs Boston Legacy W (NWSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Angel City W 46%, the draw 25% and Boston Legacy W 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | Yes |
| Angel City W win | 46% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Boston Legacy W win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City W | 28 | 57% | 25% | 61% |
| Boston Legacy W | 28 | 61% | 25% | 64% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 38% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 48% | 41% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City W | 60% | 84% | 50 |
| Boston Legacy W | 82% | 89% | 28 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Angel City W season stats · Boston Legacy W season stats · NWSL (W) table and form
League. NWSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Angel City W 16 of 28 (9 of 13 at home), Boston Legacy W 17 of 28 (6 of 13 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 53% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 52% and 55%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.66 (Angel City W) v 1.29 (Boston Legacy W) give 57%; 30% weight: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.