Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 11:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Ajax W vs Twente W (Vrouwen Eredivisie (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 64% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Ajax W 30%, the draw 23% and Twente W 47%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Ajax W win | 30% | |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Twente W win | 47% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | |
| Goal in both halves | 62% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 47% | 46% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 61% | 56% |
| Goal in both halves | 62% | 67% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 89% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Ajax W season stats · Twente W season stats · Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) table and form
League. Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 66% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Ajax W 5 of 8 (3 of 5 at home), Twente W 6 of 7 (3 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 65% and 70%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 64% and 67%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 66%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 33% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 64%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.46 (Ajax W) v 1.87 (Twente W) give 65%; 30% weight: 64%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.