Super Liga · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga, Saturday, 31 October 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with Macva 12%, the draw 23% and FK Crvena Zvezda 65%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | No |
| Macva win | 12% | |
| Draw | 23% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda win | 65% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | |
| Goal in both halves | 52% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 13 | 38% | 23% | 46% |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 13 | 62% | 31% | 31% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 52% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 47% | 73% | 15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 76% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 73% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Macva season stats · FK Crvena Zvezda season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Macva 5 of 13 (2 of 6 at home), FK Crvena Zvezda 8 of 13 (2 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 46% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 46% and 60%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.62 (Macva) v 1.81 (FK Crvena Zvezda) give 44%; 30% weight: 50%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.