K League 1 · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 05:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen (K League 1, Saturday, 31 October 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Jeonbuk Motors 37%, the draw 24% and Daejeon Citizen 39%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | Yes |
| Jeonbuk Motors win | 37% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Daejeon Citizen win | 39% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 39% | 24% | 55% |
| Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 55% | 36% | 58% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | 63% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 27% | 29% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 47% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 50% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 62% | 80% | 50 |
| Daejeon Citizen | 58% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 62% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Jeonbuk Motors season stats · Daejeon Citizen season stats · K League 1 table and form
League. K League 1 has had over 2.5 goals in 48% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Jeonbuk Motors 13 of 33 (10 of 16 at home), Daejeon Citizen 18 of 33 (9 of 16 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 43% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 44% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 11 meetings in 3 years, 27% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 47%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.61 (Jeonbuk Motors) v 1.64 (Daejeon Citizen) give 63%; 30% weight: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.