USL Championship · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 01:00 UK time
CompactStats rates El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio (USL Championship, Saturday, 31 October 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with El Paso Locomotive 42%, the draw 27% and San Antonio 31%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| El Paso Locomotive win | 42% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| San Antonio win | 31% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 60% | 33% | 60% |
| San Antonio | 30 | 40% | 13% | 43% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 38% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive | 80% | 78% | 50 |
| San Antonio | 64% | 62% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: El Paso Locomotive season stats · San Antonio season stats · USL Championship table and form
League. USL Championship has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. El Paso Locomotive 18 of 30 (8 of 15 at home), San Antonio 12 of 30 (5 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 55% and 44%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 45%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 83% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.38 (El Paso Locomotive) v 1.14 (San Antonio) give 46%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.