USL Championship · Friday, 30 October 2026 · 23:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island (USL Championship, Friday, 30 October 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Charleston Battery 64%, the draw 22% and Rhode Island 14%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Charleston Battery win | 64% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Rhode Island win | 14% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 47% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 30 | 53% | 37% | 47% |
| Rhode Island | 30 | 43% | 27% | 53% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 48% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 47% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 60% | 90% | 50 |
| Rhode Island | 48% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Charleston Battery season stats · Rhode Island season stats · USL Championship table and form
League. USL Championship has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Charleston Battery 16 of 30 (8 of 15 at home), Rhode Island 13 of 30 (8 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 52% and 46%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 45%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 8 meetings in 3 years, 25% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.95 (Charleston Battery) v 0.78 (Rhode Island) give 51%; 30% weight: 49%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 50%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.