Stars League · Friday, 30 October 2026 · 14:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli Doha (Stars League, Friday, 30 October 2026) 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Al Shahaniya 35%, the draw 24% and Al Ahli Doha 41%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | Yes |
| Al Shahaniya win | 35% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Al Ahli Doha win | 41% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 88% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya | 7 | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| Al Ahli Doha | 7 | 86% | 57% | 43% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 42% | 40% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 88% | 88% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 61% | 62% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 66% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 48% | 2nd 51% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya | 76% | 88% | 50 |
| Al Ahli Doha | 76% | 90% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Al Shahaniya season stats · Al Ahli Doha season stats · Stars League table and form
League. Stars League has had over 2.5 goals in 65% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Al Shahaniya 5 of 7 (3 of 4 at home), Al Ahli Doha 6 of 7 (3 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 67% and 70%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 68%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 65%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 67%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.51 (Al Shahaniya) v 1.66 (Al Ahli Doha) give 62%; 30% weight: 65%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.