Super Liga · Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo (Super Liga, Wednesday, 28 October 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Radnicki 1923 43%, the draw 27% and Železničar Pančevo 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | Yes |
| Radnicki 1923 win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Železničar Pančevo win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | |
| Goal in both halves | 54% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 50% | 17% | 25% |
| Železničar Pančevo | 12 | 50% | 17% | 42% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 37% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 54% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 70% | 66% | 50 |
| Železničar Pančevo | 66% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 73% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Radnicki 1923 season stats · Železničar Pančevo season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Radnicki 1923 6 of 12 (4 of 5 at home), Železničar Pančevo 6 of 12 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 45% and 47%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 47%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 47%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.39 (Radnicki 1923) v 1.11 (Železničar Pančevo) give 46%; 30% weight: 46%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.