North Carolina — over 2.5 goals record & form (2025-26)

North Carolina no longer play in the USL Championship. This page keeps their last full season there — 32 league games in 2025-26 — because the record is still the best guide to how their matches ran. Nothing below is from the current campaign.

North Carolina went over 2.5 goals in 15 of 32 league games that season (47%) — 47% at home, 47% away. They scored 41 and conceded 41, so their matches averaged 2.56 goals, and both teams scored in 56% of them. Record: 14-6-12 in the USL Championship.

Full North Carolina season view in the app →

How North Carolina's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the USL Championship norm for goals — 47% over 2.5 against a division average of 49%. That ranks them 0th of 25 for goals in their matches, 0th for scoring (1.28 a game) and 0th for goals conceded (1.28). They've kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in 32 games.

Across 32 matches with half-time data, 52% of the goals in their games have come after the break (39 before, 43 after). North Carolina themselves have scored 23 in first halves and 18 in second.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall3214612414147%22%56%
Home17935252147%24%59%
Away15537162047%20%53%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 1–0 (7 times). Biggest win: 4–2 at home to Indy Eleven (Sat 19 Jul). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 away at Louisville City. 5 of their 32 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 8 straight matches under 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 32 league games last season North Carolina's matches went over 2.5 goals 47% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 47% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.

Last 10 league games

Sun, 9 Nov 2025vs Rhode Island0–2U2.5
Sat, 1 Nov 2025vs Loudoun United1–0U2.5
Sat, 25 Oct 2025at Loudoun United1–0U2.5
Sun, 19 Oct 2025vs Rhode Island0–0U2.5
Sat, 11 Oct 2025vs Phoenix Rising0–2U2.5
Sat, 4 Oct 2025at Detroit City0–2U2.5
Thu, 2 Oct 2025at Birmingham Legion1–1U2.5
Sat, 27 Sept 2025vs Miami FC1–0U2.5
Sun, 21 Sept 2025at Tampa Bay Rowdies2–2O2.5
Sat, 13 Sept 2025vs El Paso Locomotive1–0U2.5