Club Nacional have gone over 2.5 goals in 18 of 32 league games this season (56%) — 56% at home, 56% away. They've scored 48 and conceded 38, so their matches average 2.69 goals, and both teams have scored in 53% of them. Record: 17-4-11 in the Primera Division, where the division average is 44% over 2.5.
Full Club Nacional season view in the app →They are one of the division's more open sides: 56% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 13 points above the Primera Division average of 44%. That ranks them 2nd of 16 for goals in their matches, 4th for scoring (1.50 a game) and 10th for goals conceded (1.19). They've kept 11 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in 32 games — a defence that shuts games down more often than the attack goes missing.
Across 32 matches with half-time data, 58% of the goals in their games have come after the break (36 before, 50 after). Club Nacional themselves have scored 20 in first halves and 28 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 38 | 56% | 25% | 53% |
| Home | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 56% | 19% | 50% |
| Away | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 56% | 31% | 56% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 1–0 (5 times). Biggest win: 4–0 at home to Cerro (Sun 10 May). Heaviest defeat: 0–3 away at Deportivo Maldonado. 4 of their 32 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals. They are unbeaten in 8.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 23 league games last season Club Nacional's matches went over 2.5 goals 65% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 56%, down 9 points on 32 games.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.