FC Lugano have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 league games this season (90%) — 83% at home, 100% away. They've scored 31 and conceded 7, so their matches average 3.80 goals, and both teams have scored in 60% of them. Record: 9-1-0 in the Super League, where the division average is 77% over 2.5.
Full FC Lugano season view in the app →They are one of the division's more open sides: 90% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 13 points above the Super League average of 77%. That ranks them 2nd of 12 for goals in their matches, 2nd for scoring (3.10 a game) and 12th for goals conceded (0.70). They've kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 0 times in 10 games — a defence that shuts games down more often than the attack goes missing.
Across 10 matches with half-time data, 61% of the goals in their games have come after the break (15 before, 23 after). FC Lugano themselves have scored 12 in first halves and 19 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 90% | 70% | 60% |
| Home | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 83% | 67% | 50% |
| Away | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 75% | 75% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 4–0 (2 times). Biggest win: 5–0 at home to FC Zurich (Sun 9 Aug). 3 of their 10 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 5 straight matches over 2.5 goals. They are unbeaten in 12.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 38 league games last season FC Lugano's matches went over 2.5 goals 47% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 90%, up 43 points, though 10 games is a small sample to read much into.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.