Nacional Asuncion have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of 15 league games this season (27%) — 29% at home, 25% away. They've scored 23 and conceded 8, so their matches average 2.07 goals, and both teams have scored in 33% of them. Record: 8-5-2 in the Primera Clausura, where the division average is 49% over 2.5.
Full Nacional Asuncion season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 27% over 2.5 against a league average of 49%, 22 points below it. That ranks them 11th of 12 for goals in their matches, 3rd for scoring (1.53 a game) and 12th for goals conceded (0.53). They've kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in 15 games — a defence that shuts games down more often than the attack goes missing.
Across 15 matches with half-time data, 61% of the goals in their games have come after the break (12 before, 19 after). Nacional Asuncion themselves have scored 10 in first halves and 13 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 33% |
| Home | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| Away | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 25% | 13% | 50% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 1–1 (4 times). Biggest win: 3–0 at home to 2 de Mayo (Fri 18 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 0–1 away at Cerro Porteno. 1 of their 15 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 4 straight matches under 2.5 goals. They are unbeaten in 6.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 22 league games last season Nacional Asuncion's matches went over 2.5 goals 27% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 27% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.