Toluca have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4 league games this season (50%) — 100% at home, 0% away. They've scored 6 and conceded 3, so their matches average 2.25 goals, and both teams have scored in 50% of them. Record: 2-1-1 in the Liga MX, where the division average is 58% over 2.5.
Full Toluca season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 50% over 2.5 against a league average of 58%, 8 points below it. That ranks them 10th of 18 for goals in their matches, 7th for scoring (1.50 a game) and 16th for goals conceded (0.75). They've kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in 4 games.
Across 4 matches with half-time data, 44% of the goals in their games have come after the break (5 before, 4 after). Toluca themselves have scored 4 in first halves and 2 in second — they do their damage early.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| Home | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| Away | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–0 (1 time). Biggest win: 3–1 at home to Necaxa (Mon 3 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 1–2 at home to U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
In 42 league games last season Toluca's matches went over 2.5 goals 50% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 50% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.