Toluca have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 12 league games this season (67%) — 83% at home, 50% away. They've scored 26 and conceded 16, so their matches average 3.50 goals, and both teams have scored in 67% of them. Record: 6-3-3 in the Liga MX, where the division average is 53% over 2.5.
Full Toluca season view in the app →They are one of the division's more open sides: 67% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 14 points above the Liga MX average of 53%. That ranks them 2nd of 18 for goals in their matches, 3rd for scoring (2.17 a game) and 10th for goals conceded (1.33). They've kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in 12 games — a defence that shuts games down more often than the attack goes missing.
Across 12 matches with half-time data, 57% of the goals in their games have come after the break (18 before, 24 after). Toluca themselves have scored 12 in first halves and 14 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 67% | 50% | 67% |
| Home | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 83% | 67% | 83% |
| Away | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 2–3 (2 times). Biggest win: 4–0 at home to FC Juarez (Mon 31 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 2–3 away at Tigres UANL. 4 of their 12 games have produced five goals or more.
In 42 league games last season Toluca's matches went over 2.5 goals 50% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 67%, up 17 points, though 12 games is a small sample to read much into.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.