Tochigi SC have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of 11 league games this season (45%) — 60% at home, 33% away. They've scored 11 and conceded 16, so their matches average 2.45 goals, and both teams have scored in 55% of them. Record: 2-4-5 in the J3 League, where the division average is 55% over 2.5.
Full Tochigi SC season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 45% over 2.5 against a league average of 55%, 10 points below it. That ranks them 17th of 20 for goals in their matches, 16th for scoring (1.00 a game) and 9th for goals conceded (1.45). They've kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in 11 games.
Across 11 matches with half-time data, 63% of the goals in their games have come after the break (10 before, 17 after). Tochigi SC themselves have scored 2 in first halves and 9 in second — a distinctly second-half team.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 45% | 36% | 55% |
| Home | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| Away | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 33% | 33% | 50% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–1 (2 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to Kochi United (Sat 5 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 away at FC Gifu. 2 of their 11 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 38 league games last season Tochigi SC's matches went over 2.5 goals 34% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 45%, up 11 points, though 11 games is a small sample to read much into.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.