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VfB Stuttgart — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026-2027)

VfB Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 league games this season (50%) — 50% at home, 50% away. They've scored 8 and conceded 10, so their matches average 3.00 goals, and both teams have scored in 50% of them. Record: 2-0-4 in the Bundesliga, where the division average is 74% over 2.5.

Full VfB Stuttgart season view in the app →

How VfB Stuttgart's matches tend to go

They are on the tighter end of the division: 50% over 2.5 against a league average of 74%, 24 points below it. That ranks them 16th of 18 for goals in their matches, 13th for scoring (1.33 a game) and 12th for goals conceded (1.67). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in 6 games.

Across 6 matches with half-time data, 78% of the goals in their games have come after the break (4 before, 14 after). VfB Stuttgart themselves have scored 2 in first halves and 6 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall620481050%33%50%
Home21014250%50%50%
Away41034850%25%50%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 0–1 (2 times). Biggest win: 4–1 at home to 1. FC Köln (Fri 4 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 1–5 away at Bayern München. 2 of their 6 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 34 league games last season VfB Stuttgart's matches went over 2.5 goals 74% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 50%, down 24 points on 6 games.

Last 10 league games

Sat 17 Octat Hamburger SV0–1U2.5
Sat 10 Octat SC Paderborn 072–0U2.5
Sat 19 Septvs Borussia Dortmund0–1U2.5
Sat 12 Septat 1899 Hoffenheim1–2O2.5
Fri 4 Septvs 1. FC Köln4–1O2.5
Fri 28 Augat Bayern München1–5O2.5
Sat, 16 May 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt2–2O2.5
Sat, 9 May 2026vs Bayer Leverkusen3–1O2.5
Sat, 2 May 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim3–3O2.5
Sun, 26 Apr 2026vs Werder Bremen1–1U2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.