Swindon Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of 11 league games this season (45%) — 50% at home, 40% away. They've scored 10 and conceded 15, so their matches average 2.27 goals, and both teams have scored in 45% of them. Record: 3-3-5 in the League Two, where the division average is 43% over 2.5.
Full Swindon Town season view in the app →Their games land close to the League Two norm for goals — 45% over 2.5 against a division average of 43%. That ranks them 14th of 24 for goals in their matches, 21st for scoring (0.91 a game) and 11th for goals conceded (1.36). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 6 times in 11 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 11 matches with half-time data, 60% of the goals in their games have come after the break (10 before, 15 after). Swindon Town themselves have scored 4 in first halves and 6 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 45% | 27% | 45% |
| Home | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 50% | 33% | 83% |
| Away | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 40% | 20% | 0% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–1 (3 times). Biggest win: 3–1 at home to Colchester (Sat 5 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 0–4 away at York. Current run: 5 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 46 league games last season Swindon Town's matches went over 2.5 goals 63% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 45%, down 18 points on 11 games.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.