Results up to Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · refreshed several times a day

Manchester United — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026-2027)

Manchester United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of 7 league games this season (29%) — 33% at home, 25% away. They've scored 10 and conceded 10, so their matches average 2.86 goals, and both teams have scored in 71% of them. Record: 1-4-2 in the Premier League, where the division average is 54% over 2.5.

Full Manchester United season view in the app →

How Manchester United's matches tend to go

They are on the tighter end of the division: 29% over 2.5 against a league average of 54%, 25 points below it. That ranks them 19th of 20 for goals in their matches, 8th for scoring (1.43 a game) and 10th for goals conceded (1.43). They've kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in 7 games.

Across 7 matches with half-time data, 75% of the goals in their games have come after the break (5 before, 15 after). Manchester United themselves have scored 2 in first halves and 8 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall7142101029%29%71%
Home31116433%33%67%
Away40314625%25%75%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 1–1 (3 times). Biggest win: 5–2 at home to Ipswich (Sun 30 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 away at Hull City. 1 of their 7 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 4 straight matches under 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 38 league games last season Manchester United's matches went over 2.5 goals 63% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 29%, down 35 points on 7 games.

Last 10 league games

Sun 18 Octat Leeds1–1U2.5
Sat 10 Octvs Tottenham1–1U2.5
Sun 20 Septat Fulham1–1U2.5
Sun 13 Septvs Manchester City0–1U2.5
Sun 6 Septat Everton2–2O2.5
Sun 30 Augvs Ipswich5–2O2.5
Sat 22 Augat Hull City0–2U2.5
Sun, 24 May 2026at Brighton3–0O2.5
Sun, 17 May 2026vs Nottingham Forest3–2O2.5
Sat, 9 May 2026at Sunderland0–0U2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.