Derby have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of 11 league games this season (55%) — 50% at home, 60% away. They've scored 9 and conceded 20, so their matches average 2.64 goals, and both teams have scored in 55% of them. Record: 1-3-7 in the Championship, where the division average is 62% over 2.5.
Full Derby season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 55% over 2.5 against a league average of 62%, 7 points below it. That ranks them 19th of 24 for goals in their matches, 23rd for scoring (0.82 a game) and 4th for goals conceded (1.82). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in 11 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 11 matches with half-time data, 45% of the goals in their games have come after the break (16 before, 13 after). Derby themselves have scored 5 in first halves and 4 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 55% | 18% | 55% |
| Home | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 50% | 17% | 50% |
| Away | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 60% | 20% | 60% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–1 (2 times). Biggest win: 2–0 away at Portsmouth (Tue 1 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 away at QPR. 1 of their 11 games have produced five goals or more.
In 46 league games last season Derby's matches went over 2.5 goals 52% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 55% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.