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Ferro Carril Oeste — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Ferro Carril Oeste have gone over 2.5 goals in 11 of 34 league games this season (32%) — 29% at home, 35% away. They've scored 38 and conceded 28, so their matches average 1.94 goals, and both teams have scored in 38% of them. Record: 19-8-7 in the Primera Nacional, where the division average is 33% over 2.5.

Full Ferro Carril Oeste season view in the app →

How Ferro Carril Oeste's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the Primera Nacional norm for goals — 32% over 2.5 against a division average of 33%. That ranks them 17th of 36 for goals in their matches, 10th for scoring (1.12 a game) and 31st for goals conceded (0.82). They've kept 16 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in 34 games.

Across 34 matches with half-time data, 59% of the goals in their games have come after the break (27 before, 39 after). Ferro Carril Oeste themselves have scored 13 in first halves and 25 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall341987382832%15%38%
Home171025181429%12%35%
Away17962201435%18%41%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 1–0 (10 times). Biggest win: 3–1 at home to Atlanta (Sat 15 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–4 away at Deportivo Moron. 1 of their 34 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 7 straight matches under 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 34 league games last season Ferro Carril Oeste's matches went over 2.5 goals 24% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 32%, up 9 points, though 34 games is a small sample to read much into.

Last 10 league games

Sun 18 Octvs Racing Cordoba1–0U2.5
Sun 11 Octat Central Norte1–1U2.5
Fri 2 Octvs Deportivo Madryn0–2U2.5
Sun 27 Septat Defensores De Belgrano1–0U2.5
Sat 19 Septvs Ciudad de Bolívar1–0U2.5
Sun 13 Septat Almirante Brown0–0U2.5
Sat 5 Septvs Atletico Mitre0–0U2.5
Sun 30 Augat CA Estudiantes2–2O2.5
Tue 25 Augvs All Boys1–0U2.5
Sat 15 Augvs Atlanta3–1O2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.