Ratings updated 06:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Liga MX · Monday, 9 November 2026 · 02:00 UK

Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

86%Leon, league games

73%Guadalajara Chivas, league games

79%league

Leon Over 1.5 in 5 straight at home

56%Over 2.5 goals· likely

36%Leon, league games

33%Guadalajara Chivas, league games

58%league

34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

21%Leon, league games

20%Guadalajara Chivas, league games

37%league

59%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

64%Leon, league games

47%Guadalajara Chivas, league games

61%league

Leon BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home

47%Guadalajara Chivas win· close call

28%Leon

25%Draw

47%Guadalajara Chivas

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX, Monday, 9 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Leon 28%, the draw 25% and Guadalajara Chivas 47%.

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Form this season

Leon

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (14)36%

Home (7)43%

Away (7)29%

Home games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.9	1.4

Won 4 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 57%

Guadalajara Chivas

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)33%

Home (8)38%

Away (7)29%

Away games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.4	0.7

Won 3 · drew 4 · lost 0 · both scored in 57%

Latest results

Leon

25 OctHToluca LigaMXD1–1

21 OctATigres UANL LigaMXW0–2

18 OctHClub America LigaMXL3–5

10 OctAPuebla LigaMXD1–1

28 SeptHFC Juarez LigaMXW2–1

21 SeptAClub Queretaro LigaMXD1–1

Guadalajara Chivas

1 NovHAtlante FC LigaMXW4–2

25 OctAMonterrey LigaMXW0–1

21 OctHNecaxa LigaMXW1–0

18 OctHTigres UANL LigaMXD1–1

11 OctAAtlas LigaMXD1–1

27 SeptHClub Queretaro LigaMXL0–2

First and second half

	This game	Leon	Guadalajara Chivas	League
Goal in the 1st half	73%	74%	74%	72%
Goal in the 2nd half	79%	82%	76%	78%
Goal in both halves	57%	58%	58%	57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Leon: last 50 games, Guadalajara Chivas: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

19 Mar 26Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 LeonO2.5

20 Jul 25Leon 1–0 Guadalajara ChivasU2.5

29 Jan 25Leon 2–1 Guadalajara ChivasO2.5

19 Sept 24Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 LeonU2.5

9 Mar 24Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 LeonO2.5

4 Jul 23Leon 1–2 Guadalajara ChivasO2.5

More: Leon season stats · Guadalajara Chivas season stats · Liga MX table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.