Ratings updated 12:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Eerste Divisie · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 11:15 UK

Vitesse vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats

86%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
83%Vitesse, league games
92%De Graafschap, league games
83%league
Vitesse Over 1.5 in 6 straight at home
67%Over 2.5 goals· likely
50%Vitesse, league games
77%De Graafschap, league games
67%league
44%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Vitesse, league games
31%De Graafschap, league games
45%league
66%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
50%Vitesse, league games
85%De Graafschap, league games
65%league
38%De Graafschap win· close call
38%Vitesse
24%Draw
38%De Graafschap

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Vitesse vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with Vitesse 38%, the draw 24% and De Graafschap 38%.

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Form this season

Vitesse

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)50%
Home (6)67%
Away (6)33%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.7
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 67%

De Graafschap

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)77%
Home (6)67%
Away (7)86%
Away games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.32.0
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 3 · both scored in 86%

Latest results

Vitesse

28 OctAVVV Venlo KNVBW0–2
23 OctHEmmen EerDL0–2
16 OctAFC Eindhoven EerDW0–1
9 OctAFC Volendam EerDL2–0
3 OctHNAC Breda EerDD2–2
26 SeptAHeracles EerDL2–0

De Graafschap

30 OctAFC Volendam EerDW1–2
27 OctARoda KNVBL1–0
23 OctHWaalwijk EerDD1–1
19 OctAJong Ajax EerDL2–1
9 OctHJong Utrecht EerDW2–1
3 OctAFC Eindhoven EerDD2–2

First and second half

This gameVitesseDe GraafschapLeague
Goal in the 1st half81%84%86%78%
Goal in the 2nd half85%78%88%85%
Goal in both halves70%68%76%66%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 49%).

This game = our chance. Vitesse: last 50 games, De Graafschap: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Mar 26De Graafschap 1–4 VitesseO2.5
4 Dec 25Vitesse 1–2 De GraafschapO2.5
16 Feb 25Vitesse 2–0 De GraafschapU2.5
29 Sept 24De Graafschap 3–1 VitesseO2.5

More: Vitesse season stats · De Graafschap season stats · Eerste Divisie table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.