Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Eredivisie · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 19:00 UK

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats

86%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Utrecht, league games
91%NEC Nijmegen, league games
87%league
Utrecht Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
67%Over 2.5 goals· likely
90%Utrecht, league games
73%NEC Nijmegen, league games
66%league
46%Over 3.5 goals· close call
60%Utrecht, league games
55%NEC Nijmegen, league games
45%league
68%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
90%Utrecht, league games
82%NEC Nijmegen, league games
66%league
Utrecht BTTS (GG) in 6 straight at home
46%NEC Nijmegen win· close call
32%Utrecht
22%Draw
46%NEC Nijmegen

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with Utrecht 32%, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 46%.

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Form this season

Utrecht

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)90%
Home (5)80%
Away (5)100%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.83.0
Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 100%

NEC Nijmegen

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)73%
Home (6)83%
Away (5)60%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.4
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Utrecht

29 OctAKozakken Boys KNVBW0–1
24 OctHPEC Zwolle EreD1–1
18 OctATwente EreW1–2
11 OctHWillem II EreW3–1
20 SeptAFeyenoord EreL5–0
13 SeptAExcelsior EreW1–2

NEC Nijmegen

31 OctAHeerenveen EreL1–0
25 OctHGroningen EreD2–2
22 OctADinamo Zagreb UELW2–4
18 OctHFortuna Sittard EreD2–2
15 OctHLevski Sofia UELD1–1
10 OctAAjax EreD1–1

First and second half

This gameUtrechtNEC NijmegenLeague
Goal in the 1st half80%74%86%80%
Goal in the 2nd half85%78%90%85%
Goal in both halves68%56%78%69%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Utrecht: last 50 games, NEC Nijmegen: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

11 Feb 26NEC Nijmegen 1–3 UtrechtO2.5
2 Nov 25Utrecht 1–0 NEC NijmegenU2.5
15 Mar 25Utrecht 0–1 NEC NijmegenU2.5
24 Nov 24NEC Nijmegen 1–2 UtrechtO2.5
17 Mar 24Utrecht 1–0 NEC NijmegenU2.5
23 Sept 23NEC Nijmegen 3–0 UtrechtO2.5

More: Utrecht season stats · NEC Nijmegen season stats · Eredivisie table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.