Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Pro League (Belgium) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 17:30 UK
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: prediction and stats
79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
89%Union St. Gilloise, league games
80%Genk, league games
77%league
Union St. Gilloise Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
67%Union St. Gilloise, league games
70%Genk, league games
55%league
Union St. Gilloise Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
44%Union St. Gilloise, league games
30%Genk, league games
32%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
44%Union St. Gilloise, league games
50%Genk, league games
54%league
78%Union St. Gilloise win· very likely
78%Union St. Gilloise
15%Draw
7%Genk
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Union St. Gilloise vs Genk (Pro League, Belgium, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Union St. Gilloise 78%, the draw 15% and Genk 7%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.