Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga Profesional · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction and stats

70%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
84%Union Santa Fe, league games
61%Velez Sarsfield, league games
63%league
Union Santa Fe Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
Velez Sarsfield Over 1.5 in 7 straight away
56%Under 2.5 goals· likely
41%Union Santa Fe, league games
71%Velez Sarsfield, league games
64%league
23%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
31%Union Santa Fe, league games
23%Velez Sarsfield, league games
15%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
63%Union Santa Fe, league games
52%Velez Sarsfield, league games
44%league
41%Union Santa Fe win· close call
41%Union Santa Fe
27%Draw
32%Velez Sarsfield

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 44% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Union Santa Fe 41%, the draw 27% and Velez Sarsfield 32%.

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Form this season

Union Santa Fe

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)59%
Home (15)53%
Away (17)65%
Home games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.71.1
Won 7 · drew 4 · lost 4 · both scored in 60%

Velez Sarsfield

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (31)29%
Home (16)31%
Away (15)27%
Away games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.50.9
Won 5 · drew 8 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Union Santa Fe

26 OctHEstudiantes L.P. LigaProW3–1
20 OctADeportivo Riestra LigaProD1–1
10 OctHDefensa Y Justicia LigaProL0–2
3 OctABoca Juniors LigaProL3–0
19 SeptHIndependiente LigaProL1–2
13 SeptATalleres Cordoba LigaProL2–1

Velez Sarsfield

26 OctACentral Cordoba de Santiago LigaProW0–5
18 OctHGimnasia M. LigaProW1–0
12 OctALanus LigaProL2–0
5 OctHPlatense LigaProD2–2
21 SeptHTigre LigaProW3–2
11 SeptANewells Old Boys LigaProD1–1

First and second half

This gameUnion Santa FeVelez SarsfieldLeague
Goal in the 1st half62%66%62%60%
Goal in the 2nd half72%76%72%71%
Goal in both halves48%56%44%44%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Union Santa Fe: last 50 games, Velez Sarsfield: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 Apr 26Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Union Santa FeO2.5
7 Dec 24Union Santa Fe 1–0 Velez SarsfieldU2.5
24 Jul 23Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Union Santa FeU2.5
6 Aug 22Union Santa Fe 2–1 Velez SarsfieldO2.5

More: Union Santa Fe season stats · Velez Sarsfield season stats · Liga Profesional table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.