Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Eredivisie · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 13:30 UK

Twente vs Ajax: prediction and stats

83%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
80%Twente, league games
100%Ajax, league games
87%league
Ajax Over 1.5 in 9 straight away
62%Over 2.5 goals· likely
50%Twente, league games
80%Ajax, league games
67%league
Ajax Over 2.5 in 7 straight away
41%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
40%Twente, league games
70%Ajax, league games
45%league
65%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
60%Twente, league games
80%Ajax, league games
66%league
Ajax BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away
47%Ajax win· close call
29%Twente
24%Draw
47%Ajax

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Twente vs Ajax (Eredivisie, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 62% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with Twente 29%, the draw 24% and Ajax 47%.

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Form this season

Twente

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)50%
Home (5)60%
Away (5)40%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.01.0
Won 4 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 60%

Ajax

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)80%
Home (5)80%
Away (5)80%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game3.60.8
Won 5 · drew 0 · lost 0 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Twente

25 OctAAZ Alkmaar EreW0–2
22 OctALincoln Red Imps FC UECLW1–4
18 OctHUtrecht EreL1–2
15 OctHFC Thun UECLW1–0
10 OctAFortuna Sittard EreD1–1
20 SeptHPSV Eindhoven EreW3–2

Ajax

25 OctASparta Rotterdam EreW1–2
22 OctHAtalanta UECLW2–0
18 OctAGroningen EreW2–5
15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split UECLL2–1
10 OctHNEC Nijmegen EreD1–1
19 SeptHExcelsior EreD2–2

First and second half

This gameTwenteAjaxLeague
Goal in the 1st half78%70%78%80%
Goal in the 2nd half86%88%86%85%
Goal in both halves67%62%70%69%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Twente: last 50 games, Ajax: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

4 Apr 26Ajax 1–2 TwenteO2.5
26 Oct 25Twente 2–3 AjaxO2.5
18 May 25Ajax 2–0 TwenteU2.5
10 Nov 24Twente 2–2 AjaxO2.5
14 Apr 24Ajax 2–1 TwenteO2.5
17 Sept 23Twente 3–1 AjaxO2.5

More: Twente season stats · Ajax season stats · Eredivisie table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.