Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga Profesional · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin: prediction and stats

66%Over 1.5 goals· likely
61%Tigre, league games
77%Sarmiento Junin, league games
63%league
Sarmiento Junin Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
61%Under 2.5 goals· likely
65%Tigre, league games
52%Sarmiento Junin, league games
64%league
17%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
19%Tigre, league games
23%Sarmiento Junin, league games
15%league
54%Both teams to score: No· close call
48%Tigre, league games
45%Sarmiento Junin, league games
56%league
48%Tigre win· close call
48%Tigre
29%Draw
23%Sarmiento Junin

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with Tigre 48%, the draw 29% and Sarmiento Junin 23%.

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Form this season

Tigre

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (31)35%
Home (15)27%
Away (16)44%
Home games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.00.9
Won 5 · drew 6 · lost 4 · both scored in 47%

Sarmiento Junin

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (31)48%
Home (16)38%
Away (15)60%
Away games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.01.9
Won 4 · drew 0 · lost 11 · both scored in 53%

Latest results

Tigre

30 OctAHuracan LigaProW0–2
24 OctHAtletico Tucuman LigaProL0–1
17 OctAIndepend. Rivadavia LigaProD2–2
10 OctHBanfield LigaProL1–2
4 OctAArgentinos JRS LigaProL2–1
21 SeptAVelez Sarsfield LigaProL3–2

Sarmiento Junin

31 OctHRosario Central LigaProL1–2
23 OctAGimnasia L.P. LigaProL2–0
19 OctHBarracas Central LigaProD1–1
14 OctHRiver Plate LigaProD1–1
9 OctAAldosivi LigaProW1–3
19 SeptARacing Club LigaProL3–1

First and second half

This gameTigreSarmiento JuninLeague
Goal in the 1st half62%56%72%60%
Goal in the 2nd half72%68%80%71%
Goal in both halves46%38%56%44%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Tigre: last 50 games, Sarmiento Junin: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Apr 26Sarmiento Junin 1–0 TigreU2.5
18 Aug 24Sarmiento Junin 0–0 TigreU2.5
14 Apr 23Tigre 1–0 Sarmiento JuninU2.5
4 Oct 22Sarmiento Junin 2–2 TigreO2.5

More: Tigre season stats · Sarmiento Junin season stats · Liga Profesional table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.