Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Sunderland vs Chelsea: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Sunderland, league games
100%Chelsea, league games
79%league
Chelsea Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
25%Sunderland, league games
67%Chelsea, league games
57%league
27%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
13%Sunderland, league games
44%Chelsea, league games
32%league
55%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
38%Sunderland, league games
56%Chelsea, league games
57%league
43%Chelsea win· close call
29%Sunderland
28%Draw
43%Chelsea

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sunderland vs Chelsea (Premier League, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Sunderland 29%, the draw 28% and Chelsea 43%.

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Form this season

Sunderland

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)25%
Home (4)0%
Away (4)50%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.31.0
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 0%

Chelsea

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)67%
Home (5)60%
Away (4)75%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.8
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Sunderland

28 OctHBrentford EFL CupW3–2
25 OctHLeeds PremD0–0
22 OctALech Poznan UELD1–1
18 OctABournemouth PremL2–0
15 OctATorreense UELW1–2
10 OctHBrighton PremL0–2

Chelsea

31 OctHManchester United PremW2–0
28 OctALiverpool EFL CupD1–1
24 OctHTottenham PremL0–2
17 OctAEverton PremW0–2
10 OctHBournemouth PremW5–1
18 SeptABrentford PremL3–0

First and second half

This gameSunderlandChelseaLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%62%76%70%
Goal in the 2nd half81%84%84%80%
Goal in both halves57%54%62%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Sunderland: last 50 games, Chelsea: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

24 May 26Sunderland 2–1 ChelseaO2.5
25 Oct 25Chelsea 1–2 SunderlandO2.5

More: Sunderland season stats · Chelsea season stats · Premier League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.