Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Bundesliga (Austria) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:00 UK

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
90%Sturm Graz, league games
80%Red Bull Salzburg, league games
79%league
Red Bull Salzburg Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
53%Over 2.5 goals· close call
50%Sturm Graz, league games
60%Red Bull Salzburg, league games
56%league
Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5 in 5 consecutive matches (all venues)
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
30%Sturm Graz, league games
30%Red Bull Salzburg, league games
34%league
Red Bull Salzburg Over 3.5 in 3 straight away
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
60%Sturm Graz, league games
50%Red Bull Salzburg, league games
57%league
Red Bull Salzburg BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
41%Red Bull Salzburg win· close call
32%Sturm Graz
27%Draw
41%Red Bull Salzburg

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga, Austria, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Sturm Graz 32%, the draw 27% and Red Bull Salzburg 41%.

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Form this season

Sturm Graz

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)50%
Home (5)60%
Away (5)40%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.41.0
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 80%

Red Bull Salzburg

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)60%
Home (5)80%
Away (5)40%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.60.6
Won 2 · drew 3 · lost 0 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Sturm Graz

29 OctAAustria Lustenau ÖFBL3–2
25 OctHRied BundD2–2
22 OctHMarseille UELW1–0
18 OctHGrazer AK BundW6–1
15 OctABournemouth UELL3–0
10 OctAAustria Vienna BundW0–2

Red Bull Salzburg

28 OctASchwarz-Weiß Bregenz ÖFBW2–3
25 OctALask Linz BundW1–3
22 OctACelje UELD2–2
18 OctHSCR Altach BundW3–0
15 OctHAC Milan UELL0–4
10 OctAGrazer AK BundD0–0

First and second half

This gameSturm GrazRed Bull SalzburgLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%64%72%74%
Goal in the 2nd half80%84%84%79%
Goal in both halves58%54%60%59%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Sturm Graz: last 50 games, Red Bull Salzburg: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

20 Sept 26Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 Sturm GrazO2.5
3 May 26Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Sturm GrazU2.5
20 Mar 26Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgU2.5
9 Nov 25Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgU2.5
20 Sept 25Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Sturm GrazU2.5
9 May 25Sturm Graz 4–2 Red Bull SalzburgO2.5

More: Sturm Graz season stats · Red Bull Salzburg season stats · Bundesliga (Austria) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.