Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Segunda · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 17:30 UK

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid: prediction and stats

75%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
55%Sporting Gijon, league games
82%Valladolid, league games
72%league
51%Over 2.5 goals· close call
36%Sporting Gijon, league games
55%Valladolid, league games
53%league
30%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
27%Sporting Gijon, league games
36%Valladolid, league games
31%league
54%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
27%Sporting Gijon, league games
55%Valladolid, league games
56%league
53%Sporting Gijon win· close call
53%Sporting Gijon
26%Draw
21%Valladolid

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid (Segunda, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Sporting Gijon 53%, the draw 26% and Valladolid 21%.

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Form this season

Sporting Gijon

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)36%
Home (6)33%
Away (5)40%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.01.0
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 33%

Valladolid

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)55%
Home (5)80%
Away (6)33%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.5
Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 3 · both scored in 67%

Latest results

Sporting Gijon

29 OctAGuijuelo CopaW1–3
25 OctACastellón SegL4–0
17 OctHAlbacete SegW2–1
11 OctACadiz SegW0–1
4 OctHCelta de Vigo II SegW3–2
27 SeptAOviedo SegL2–0

Valladolid

29 OctACovadonga CopaW0–1
23 OctAGranada CF SegL2–1
18 OctHEldense SegL2–3
12 OctHAlbacete SegW5–0
4 OctALas Palmas SegD2–2
27 SeptHCordoba SegW3–1

First and second half

This gameSporting GijonValladolidLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%70%68%69%
Goal in the 2nd half77%82%80%75%
Goal in both halves54%58%52%52%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Sporting Gijon: last 50 games, Valladolid: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Feb 26Sporting Gijon 2–2 ValladolidO2.5
19 Oct 25Valladolid 2–3 Sporting GijonO2.5
17 Feb 24Sporting Gijon 1–1 ValladolidU2.5
11 Aug 23Valladolid 2–0 Sporting GijonU2.5
28 Jan 22Valladolid 1–0 Sporting GijonU2.5
23 Oct 21Sporting Gijon 1–2 ValladolidO2.5

More: Sporting Gijon season stats · Valladolid season stats · Segunda table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.