Ratings updated 12:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day

First League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 12:00 UK

Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

74%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

62%Spartak Varna, league games

83%Arda Kardzhali, league games

69%league

51%Under 2.5 goals· close call

62%Spartak Varna, league games

58%Arda Kardzhali, league games

53%league

28%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

31%Spartak Varna, league games

33%Arda Kardzhali, league games

25%league

50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

38%Spartak Varna, league games

58%Arda Kardzhali, league games

47%league

40%Arda Kardzhali win· close call

34%Spartak Varna

26%Draw

40%Arda Kardzhali

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Spartak Varna 34%, the draw 26% and Arda Kardzhali 40%.

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Form this season

Spartak Varna

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (13)38%

Home (6)17%

Away (7)57%

Home games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.0

Won 1 · drew 3 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Arda Kardzhali

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)42%

Home (6)33%

Away (6)50%

Away games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.0	2.0

Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Spartak Varna

30 OctACSKA 1948 FirstL6–1

24 OctADunav Ruse FirstL2–0

10 OctABotev Vratsa FirstW0–1

20 SeptHLokomotiv Sofia FirstL0–1

13 SeptASlavia Sofia FirstD0–0

5 SeptHCSKA Sofia FirstD1–1

Arda Kardzhali

27 OctHLevski Sofia FirstD1–1

12 OctALudogorets FirstL5–0

19 SeptHCherno More Varna FirstD1–1

12 SeptACSKA Sofia FirstL4–1

4 SeptHBotev Plovdiv FirstL2–3

31 AugHBotev Vratsa FirstW2–0

First and second half

	This game	Spartak Varna	Arda Kardzhali	League
Goal in the 1st half	66%	68%	66%	65%
Goal in the 2nd half	75%	80%	70%	75%
Goal in both halves	53%	60%	48%	51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Spartak Varna: last 50 games, Arda Kardzhali: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 Feb 26Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak VarnaU2.5

13 Sept 25Spartak Varna 3–0 Arda KardzhaliO2.5

7 Feb 25Arda Kardzhali 2–2 Spartak VarnaO2.5

16 Aug 24Spartak Varna 1–0 Arda KardzhaliU2.5

6 Mar 23Arda Kardzhali 2–0 Spartak VarnaU2.5

20 Aug 22Spartak Varna 1–3 Arda KardzhaliO2.5

More: Spartak Varna season stats · Arda Kardzhali season stats · First League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.