Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Bundesliga (Germany) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:30 UK

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

86%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
88%SC Freiburg, league games
71%Union Berlin, league games
83%league
SC Freiburg Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
Union Berlin Over 1.5 in 9 straight away
67%Over 2.5 goals· likely
88%SC Freiburg, league games
57%Union Berlin, league games
68%league
SC Freiburg Over 2.5 in 10 straight at home
SC Freiburg Over 2.5 in 9 consecutive matches (all venues)
46%Over 3.5 goals· close call
50%SC Freiburg, league games
57%Union Berlin, league games
47%league
SC Freiburg Over 3.5 in 3 straight at home
60%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
75%SC Freiburg, league games
43%Union Berlin, league games
63%league
SC Freiburg BTTS (GG) in 4 straight at home
76%SC Freiburg win· very likely
76%SC Freiburg
15%Draw
10%Union Berlin

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga, Germany, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with SC Freiburg 76%, the draw 15% and Union Berlin 10%.

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Form this season

SC Freiburg

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)88%
Home (4)100%
Away (4)75%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game3.01.3
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 75%

Union Berlin

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (7)57%
Home (4)50%
Away (3)67%
Away games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.34.0
Won 0 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 33%

Latest results

SC Freiburg

31 OctAFC Augsburg BundW1–2
28 OctHVfL Wolfsburg PokalW3–2
25 OctHBayern München BundL1–3
22 OctAMonaco UECLL3–0
18 OctABayer Leverkusen BundL2–1
15 OctHFK Jablonec UECLW3–2

Union Berlin

27 OctA1. FC Köln PokalL5–0
24 OctAFC Augsburg BundD1–1
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund BundD0–0
10 OctHSV Elversberg BundW1–0
18 SeptABayern München BundL7–0
11 SeptHFC Schalke 04 BundL1–3

First and second half

This gameSC FreiburgUnion BerlinLeague
Goal in the 1st half75%72%76%76%
Goal in the 2nd half87%90%88%86%
Goal in both halves67%64%70%67%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 48%).

This game = our chance. SC Freiburg: last 50 games, Union Berlin: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

15 Mar 26SC Freiburg 0–1 Union BerlinU2.5
1 Nov 25Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgU2.5
30 Mar 25SC Freiburg 1–2 Union BerlinO2.5
8 Nov 24Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgU2.5
18 May 24Union Berlin 2–1 SC FreiburgO2.5
13 Jan 24SC Freiburg 0–0 Union BerlinU2.5

More: SC Freiburg season stats · Union Berlin season stats · Bundesliga (Germany) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.