Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
MLS · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UK

San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and stats

85%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
81%San Diego, league games
97%Sporting Kansas City, league games
81%league
San Diego Over 1.5 in 6 straight at home
Sporting Kansas City Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
66%Over 2.5 goals· likely
72%San Diego, league games
81%Sporting Kansas City, league games
62%league
San Diego Over 2.5 in 6 straight at home
Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
San Diego Over 2.5 in 9 consecutive matches (all venues)
44%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
59%San Diego, league games
50%Sporting Kansas City, league games
39%league
San Diego Over 3.5 in 5 straight at home
San Diego Over 3.5 in 9 consecutive matches (all venues)
60%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
63%San Diego, league games
66%Sporting Kansas City, league games
63%league
San Diego BTTS (GG) in 7 consecutive matches (all venues)
68%San Diego win· likely
68%San Diego
18%Draw
14%Sporting Kansas City

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City (MLS, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 66% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with San Diego 68%, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 14%.

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Form this season

San Diego

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)72%
Home (16)88%
Away (16)56%
Home games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.31.8
Won 6 · drew 5 · lost 5 · both scored in 63%

Sporting Kansas City

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)81%
Home (16)75%
Away (16)88%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.92.9
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 13 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

San Diego

29 OctAVancouver Whitecaps MLSL4–1
25 OctHSeattle Sounders MLSD2–2
18 OctALos Angeles Galaxy MLSD2–2
15 OctHHouston Dynamo MLSD3–3
11 OctANew York Red Bulls MLSL4–1
27 SeptAAustin MLSD3–3

Sporting Kansas City

29 OctAMinnesota United FC MLSL3–1
25 OctHAustin MLSL1–2
18 OctHReal Salt Lake MLSL1–3
15 OctANashville SC MLSL4–0
11 OctHPortland Timbers MLSD3–3
2 OctASeattle Sounders MLSL2–1

First and second half

This gameSan DiegoSporting Kansas CityLeague
Goal in the 1st half81%80%90%77%
Goal in the 2nd half82%82%88%81%
Goal in both halves69%64%80%64%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. San Diego: last 50 games, Sporting Kansas City: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Mar 26Sporting Kansas City 0–1 San DiegoU2.5
10 Aug 25Sporting Kansas City 0–2 San DiegoU2.5
18 May 25San Diego 0–0 Sporting Kansas CityU2.5

More: San Diego season stats · Sporting Kansas City season stats · MLS table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.