Ratings updated 06:05 UK time · refreshed several times a day
J3 League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 05:00 UK

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

74%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
77%Sagamihara, league games
77%Kagoshima United, league games
70%league
51%Under 2.5 goals· close call
38%Sagamihara, league games
31%Kagoshima United, league games
50%league
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
31%Sagamihara, league games
46%Kagoshima United, league games
27%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
69%Sagamihara, league games
77%Kagoshima United, league games
54%league
39%Kagoshima United win· close call
32%Sagamihara
28%Draw
39%Kagoshima United

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United (J3 League, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Sagamihara 32%, the draw 28% and Kagoshima United 39%.

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Form this season

Sagamihara

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)62%
Home (7)43%
Away (6)83%
Home games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.10.9
Won 3 · drew 3 · lost 1 · both scored in 57%

Kagoshima United

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)69%
Home (7)71%
Away (6)67%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.81.5
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Sagamihara

24 OctHTochigi SC J3 LeD0–0
21 OctAFC Gifu J3 LeL2–1
18 OctABiwako Shiga J3 LeW0–2
9 OctHKamatamare Sanuki J3 LeW3–2
3 OctHOsaka J3 LeW1–0
26 SeptARenofa Yamaguchi J3 LeD2–2

Kagoshima United

24 OctAOsaka J3 LeL2–1
21 OctHKochi United J3 LeW3–1
17 OctHEhime FC J3 LeW4–2
11 OctAMatsumoto Yamaga J3 LeL1–0
4 OctHFukushima United J3 LeW3–2
26 SeptAKitakyushu J3 LeD1–1

First and second half

This gameSagamiharaKagoshima UnitedLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%62%68%66%
Goal in the 2nd half77%78%80%76%
Goal in both halves51%50%56%49%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Sagamihara: last 50 games, Kagoshima United: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

16 Aug 25Kagoshima United 3–0 SagamiharaO2.5
1 Mar 25Sagamihara 0–2 Kagoshima UnitedU2.5
9 Sept 23Sagamihara 0–3 Kagoshima UnitedO2.5
26 Mar 23Kagoshima United 2–1 SagamiharaO2.5
20 Aug 22Sagamihara 0–1 Kagoshima UnitedU2.5
17 Jul 22Kagoshima United 0–1 SagamiharaU2.5

More: Sagamihara season stats · Kagoshima United season stats · J3 League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.