Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day

La Liga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 15:15 UK

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

80%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

80%Real Sociedad, league games

100%Rayo Vallecano, league games

78%league

Real Sociedad Over 1.5 in 4 straight at home

Rayo Vallecano Over 1.5 in 6 straight away

57%Over 2.5 goals· likely

80%Real Sociedad, league games

70%Rayo Vallecano, league games

54%league

Real Sociedad Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home

35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

50%Real Sociedad, league games

30%Rayo Vallecano, league games

30%league

62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

70%Real Sociedad, league games

80%Rayo Vallecano, league games

58%league

Real Sociedad BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home

Rayo Vallecano BTTS (GG) in 6 straight away

52%Real Sociedad win· close call

52%Real Sociedad

22%Draw

26%Rayo Vallecano

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Real Sociedad 52%, the draw 22% and Rayo Vallecano 26%.

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Form this season

Real Sociedad

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (10)80%

Home (5)80%

Away (5)80%

Home games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.4	1.4

Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 60%

Rayo Vallecano

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (10)70%

Home (5)80%

Away (5)60%

Away games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.2	2.6

Won 0 · drew 2 · lost 3 · both scored in 100%

Latest results

Real Sociedad

25 OctHLevante LaLigaW2–1

22 OctALillestrom UELW0–6

18 OctAMalaga LaLigaW2–5

15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise UELD1–1

11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna LaLigaW3–2

20 SeptAValencia LaLigaW2–3

Rayo Vallecano

31 OctHCelta Vigo LaLigaW3–0

27 OctARecreativo Huelva CopaD1–1

24 OctHElche LaLigaL0–3

19 OctAGetafe LaLigaD1–1

19 SeptAOsasuna LaLigaD1–1

15 SeptHEspanyol LaLigaW2–1

First and second half

	This game	Real Sociedad	Rayo Vallecano	League
Goal in the 1st half	73%	76%	78%	69%
Goal in the 2nd half	83%	88%	82%	82%
Goal in both halves	62%	66%	64%	57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 47% this game (league: 2nd half 49%).

This game = our chance. Real Sociedad: last 50 games, Rayo Vallecano: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

26 Apr 26Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real SociedadO2.5

5 Oct 25Real Sociedad 0–1 Rayo VallecanoU2.5

16 Mar 25Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real SociedadO2.5

16 Jan 25Real Sociedad 3–1 Rayo VallecanoO2.5

18 Aug 24Real Sociedad 1–2 Rayo VallecanoO2.5

27 Jan 24Real Sociedad 0–0 Rayo VallecanoU2.5

More: Real Sociedad season stats · Rayo Vallecano season stats · La Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.